Paris municipal elections 2026: Rachida Dati calls for a "change of team", Emmanuel Grégoire argues for a "change of method"
Five candidates capable of qualifying for the second round in Paris
There could be two, three, four or even five candidates in the second round of the municipal elections in Paris. This is one of the key findings of the Elabe/Berger-Levrault poll for BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche, and Le Figaro, published this Saturday, March 7. Behind Emmanuel Grégoire and Rachida Dati, three other candidates are in a position to qualify for the second round: Sarah Knafo for Reconquête (13.5%), Pierre-Yves Bournazel, the Horizons et Renaissance candidate (12%), and the LFI deputy for Paris, Sophia Chikirou (10.5%). The name of the new mayor of Paris could therefore depend largely on whether or not the lists that qualified for the second round remain in the race. Emmanuel Grégoire would fully benefit from a three-way contest with the withdrawals of Sophia Chikirou and Pierre-Yves Bournazel and the continued participation of Sarah Knafo. He would then win with 47.5% of voting intentions against 37.5% for Rachida Dati.
Conversely, in the opposite scenario, that is, a three-way race with Sophia Chikirou remaining in the race and Sarah Knafo and Pierre-Yves Bournazel withdrawing, the former Minister of Culture would emerge victorious with 47% of the vote, against 40% for the Socialist candidate.
Survey conducted on a sample of 1,120 people, representative of the Paris resident population aged 18 and over, including 1,000 registered voters in Paris. Respondents were interviewed online from February 27 to March 6, 2026.
The representativeness of the sample was ensured using the quota method, applied to the following variables: gender, age, occupation, and district grouping.
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